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CASE FILE · THE ROADS RORTARTICLE 1 / 8By The Rort · April 2026 · updated 19 October 2026 · therort.com.au

The toll

The WestConnex M4 cost $4.56 in 2017. It costs $10.38 today. Australian consumer prices rose about 29 per cent over the same period. The toll rose 128 per cent. Driving to work in Sydney (through the tunnels built with public money, now …

WESTCONNEX M4 TOLL RISE vs CONSUMER PRICES (2017-2025) TOLL INCREASE: 128% A$4.56 > A$10.38 CPI: 29% consumer prices over the same period 4.4x faster A$100+ weekly tolls, two or more toll roads daily (iSelect) 75.1% Transurban EBITDA margin, FY25 2060 year tolls guaranteed to keep rising AUSTRALIA'S MOST EXPENSIVE TOLLS M4 $10.38 Eastern Dist $10.16 NorthConnex $10.15 + 5 more Sydney tolls 8 of 10 most expensive Australian tolls are in Sydney. The only toll that didn't beat inflation: the government-owned one. $13.50/km Go Between Bridge, Brisbane 300 metres long THE RORT · SOURCE: iSELECT, ABS CPI INDEX (RORT CALCULATION), TRANSURBAN FY25 ASX
Eight of Australia’s ten most expensive tolls are in Sydney. All except the government-owned Harbour Bridge rose faster than inflation.

In 2017, the toll to use the WestConnex M4 motorway in Sydney was A$4.56. In 2025, it is A$10.38. That is a 128 per cent increase in eight years. On this article’s calculation from ABS index numbers, Australian consumer prices rose approximately 29 per cent over the same period 1516. The toll rose more than four times faster than inflation.

This is not exceptional by Australian toll road standards. It is the norm. The WestConnex M4 is simply the fastest-rising toll in the country, increasing at an average of 12.3 per cent per year since 2015. Most major Sydney tolls rose faster than inflation over the same period. The exceptions are the roads the government still owns.

iSelect, a comparison site, estimates that a Sydney commuter who uses two or more toll roads each day can face weekly tolls of more than A$100 2. Paid every week of the year, that would be more than A$5,000 (this article's arithmetic: 52 weeks at A$100). For a household already facing mortgage stress, high grocery prices, and high energy bills, the toll is a fixed, compulsory cost that rises every year regardless of household income.

The company that owns these roads reported an EBITDA margin of 75.1 per cent for the year to June 2025. That is not a typo.

Fig. 01 / The WestConnex toll, then, now and as contracted
  1. 2017
    The WestConnex M4 toll is A$4.56
  2. 2018
    The contract still setting today's tolls is negotiated
  3. 2025
    The M4 toll is A$10.38: up 128 per cent in eight years, while consumer prices rose approximately 29 per cent
  4. June 2025
    Day not givenTransurban reports an EBITDA margin of 75.1 per cent for the year to June
  5. 2040
    Until then, the concession lets tolls rise by 4 per cent or CPI, whichever is greater
  6. 2060
    Until then, the concession lets tolls rise at CPI

In date order. Spacing is not to scale.

Stated in: the opening, §02

Fig. 01Source: the article text, each mark cited to its sentenceAs of 2026‑04Hand-curated

01Sydney: the toll capital of Australia

Eight of Australia’s ten most expensive tolls are in Sydney. They include the WestConnex M4 at A$10.38, the Eastern Distributor at A$10.16, and NorthConnex at A$10.15. Melbourne’s CityLink holds the title of Australia’s most expensive single toll at up to A$12.25 per trip, but this reflects its longer route from the airport to the city centre, providing better value per kilometre than Sydney’s shorter tunnels.

The most expensive toll per kilometre in Australia is the Go Between Bridge in Brisbane, at A$13.50 per kilometre. The bridge is 300 metres long. This toll charges more per kilometre than almost any comparable infrastructure in the world.

All Sydney tolls except the Sydney Harbour Bridge rose faster than inflation over the period studied. The Harbour Bridge is the exception that proves the rule: it is government-owned.

75.1%
EBITDA margin reported by Transurban for the year to June 2025: the margin of a monopoly infrastructure company collecting inflation-linked fees from captive users with no alternative
Source · Transurban FY25 ASX release

An EBITDA margin of 75 per cent is not an airline margin or a supermarket margin. It is the margin of a monopoly infrastructure company that collects inflation-linked fees from captive users who have no alternative. Morningstar has rated Transurban a ‘wide moat’ stock, meaning its competitive advantages are deep and durable. Morningstar says the moat is ‘underpinned by efficient scale and other competitive advantages in existing markets’, and that the core Australian roads ‘benefit from strong barriers to entry’ 4. Each road also runs under a government concession that sets how its tolls rise.

Update, 7 October 2026. Two references were corrected; no sentence in this article relied on either. Reference 11 described the iSelect toll analysis as saying the Cross City Tunnel and Lane Cove Tunnel "went bankrupt before Transurban absorbed them"; that page is a toll price analysis and does not carry that history, so the reference now describes what it does carry (the history is sourced in Article 3, "Transurban: the monopoly"). Reference 6, The Conversation analysis, now gives the article's correct address and says that its 34 cents figure was calculated for the 2018 sale of 51 per cent.

Correction, 7 October 2026. The opening and subtitle said Australian consumer prices rose "approximately 28 per cent" between 2017 and 2025, and reference 15 attributed that figure and the 128 per cent comparison to an ABS page. The ABS publishes the CPI index, not the comparison: the All groups index was 111.4 in the September quarter 2017 16 and 143.6 in the September quarter 2025 15, a rise of about 29 per cent. The opening, subtitle, summary and timeline now give 29 per cent and say it is this article's calculation from ABS index numbers; the fact box in "The rort" now names its source the same way. The toll still rose more than four times as fast.

Correction, 15 October 2026. After the Morningstar rating, this section said the moat is ‘not operational excellence or technological advantage’ but ‘the government-granted concession that makes each road a legal monopoly’, and reference 4 said the moat was derived from government-granted monopoly concessions. Morningstar does not say that. Its analysis says the moat is underpinned by efficient scale and other competitive advantages in existing markets, and that the core Australian roads benefit from strong barriers to entry 4. The passage and reference 4 now say so. Reference 3 paired Transurban’s reported proportional EBITDA of A$2,676 million with the 75.1 per cent margin; the margin is on Operating EBITDA of A$2,848 million over total proportional revenue of A$3,795 million, and the reference now says so. Reference 12 gave the FY24 margin as 73.1% while reference 3 gives 73.7%: 73.1% is the margin as first reported in August 2024, and 73.7% is the FY24 margin restated in the FY25 release; reference 12 now says so.

02The inflation linkage: tolls that rise automatically

Sydney's toll contracts include escalation clauses that raise tolls automatically. The Independent Toll Review's table of current tolls sets out each road's formula 17: CPI each quarter on the Westlink M7, the M5 South-West and the Cross City Tunnel; the greater of CPI and 1 per cent a quarter, about 4 per cent a year, on NorthConnex and the Hills M2; and the greater of CPI or 4 per cent a year on WestConnex. In years when inflation is high, tolls rise with it. In years when inflation is low, the floor means tolls on those roads still rise at about 4 per cent, faster than prices.

For WestConnex specifically, the concession agreement allows tolls to rise by 4 per cent or CPI, whichever is greater, until 2040, then at CPI until 2060. That means the WestConnex tolls that already rose 128 per cent between 2017 and 2025 are contractually guaranteed to continue rising until 2060, another 35 years beyond 2025.

A Sydney motorist who drives WestConnex in 2026 is paying for a contract negotiated in 2018. That will still be charging their children in 2060.

“The WestConnex deal with the NSW government allows it to raise tolls by 4% or the inflation rate, whichever is higher, a year. Profit margins for WestConnex last financial year are nearly 80%, even higher for some of its older toll roads.”

AFR · cited in Green Left analysis

Correction, 7 October 2026. This section said the WestConnex tolls would keep rising for "another 34 years" beyond the 2017 to 2025 rise. The concession allows rises until 2060 5, which is 35 years beyond 2025. It now says "until 2060, another 35 years beyond 2025".

Correction, 19 October 2026. This section said that most Transurban concession agreements raise tolls by CPI or a fixed rate, commonly 4 per cent, whichever is higher, and the summary said tolls on captive roads outpace prices. The Independent Toll Review's table of current tolls 17 shows the formula road by road: CPI each quarter on the Westlink M7, the M5 South-West and the Cross City Tunnel, the greater of CPI and 1 per cent a quarter on NorthConnex and the Hills M2, and the greater of CPI or 4 per cent a year on WestConnex, where in some years tolls have grown ahead of CPI. The section and summary now say that, and no longer say that Transurban concessions in general use a 4 per cent rate.

03The international comparison

France, Germany, the Netherlands and most of Scandinavia have extensive motorway networks. Most urban roads and ring roads in those countries do not charge per use. Tolling in Europe is typically applied to specific long-distance routes: the French autoroutes, the German Autobahn (commercial vehicles only), the UK’s Dartford Crossing, not to the routine daily commute through urban arterials.

The United States has toll roads, but large parts of the interstate highway system, built with federal funding, remain free to use. The model of tolling every major urban motorway, at rates that rise faster than wages, is not common in comparable countries.

The reason Australia ended up here is the privatisation model: governments needed private capital for expensive infrastructure, offered long concession agreements with guaranteed returns, and created the conditions for a monopoly operator to accumulate the entire network. That is the subject of Article 2.

04The rort

128%
toll increase on the WestConnex M4 from 2017 to 2025: approximately four times faster than CPI
Source · iSelect toll prices; this article’s calculation from ABS CPI index numbers

Eight of Australia’s 10 most expensive tolls are in Sydney. The WestConnex M4 toll rose 128 per cent from 2017 to 2025: approximately four times faster than CPI. iSelect estimates that a Sydney commuter using two or more toll roads each day can pay more than A$100 a week, more than A$5,000 over 52 weeks. All Sydney tolls except the government-owned Harbour Bridge rose faster than inflation.

Transurban’s FY25 EBITDA margin: 75.1 per cent: the margin of a monopoly with no competition and inflation-linked pricing. WestConnex tolls are contractually guaranteed to rise until 2060.

These roads were built because Australians needed them. They were funded with public money, public debt, and the sale of other public assets. They are now owned by a private company with a 75 per cent profit margin and a contract that lets WestConnex tolls keep rising until 2060.

If it’s a rort, we cover it.

Correction, 7 October 2026. This section said the owner had "a 35-year guarantee on rising returns". The concession lets WestConnex tolls rise until 2060 5; it does not guarantee returns, and the term was given inconsistently across the article. It now says the contract lets WestConnex tolls keep rising until 2060.

Correction, 19 October 2026. The subtitle, the opening, this section, the key facts and the image said that a typical Sydney commuter who drives two tolled roads each way spends more than A$100 a week and over A$5,000 a year. The only source, iSelect 2, says that commuters who use two or more of Sydney's toll roads each day can face weekly costs of more than A$100; it does not describe a typical commuter, each-way trips or an annual total. They now give iSelect's estimate, and the annual figure is marked as this article's arithmetic of 52 weeks at A$100.

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RS-1 4 of 17 references are primary documents (Tier 1). Enforced on new pieces by the release gate (RS-1.1) and the desk record.
RS-2 17 references: resolves checked 13, exists confirmed 0, supports confirmed 0, the rest unchecked. Enforced on new pieces by the release gate (RS-2.1) and the desk record.
RS-3 No counter. Enforced by the release gate (RS-3.1 to RS-3.4) and the desk record.
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RS-6 Unnamed sources not yet declared (published before 1.0). Enforced on new pieces by the release gate (RS-6.1 to RS-6.2) and the desk record.
RS-7 Corrections: 7 Oct 2026, 15 Oct 2026, 19 Oct 2026. Enforced by the release gate (RS-7.1, RS-7.2 and RS-7.4) and the desk record.
RS-8 None declared. Enforced by the release gate (RS-8.1) and the desk record.
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RS-11 Complaints: desk@therort.com.au. Factual errors: corrections@therort.com.au. Acknowledged within five business days. Enforced by the release gate (RS-11.1 to RS-11.4) and the desk record.
References & Sources17 sources · all linked
Evidence strength
  • Primary 4
  • Masthead 2
  • Trade 5
  • Aggregator 3
  • Unusable 3
Primary
the document itself: legislation, a court record, a filing, a regulator’s own publication
Masthead
a news organisation with a corrections policy, reporting the primary document
Trade
specialist or trade press
Aggregator
republishes others’ work
Unusable
its own sourcing cannot be established
How sources are graded

A check appears under a source only where one is on record: a machine test of whether the link loads, and, where the desk has made the call, whether the document exists and whether it carries the claim. Nothing is shown for a check that is not on record. What these checks mean

  1. UnusableiSelect: ‘Top Priced Tolls in Australia’ (November 2025). https://www.iselect.com.au/car-insurance/insights/top-priced-tolls/. WestConnex M4: $10.38 in 2025, up from $4.56 in 2017: fastest annual toll rise in Australia at +12.3%/year. Melbourne CityLink: up to $12.25, Australia’s most expensive single toll. NorthConnex: $10.15. Eastern Distributor: $10.16. Legacy Way Brisbane: $7.00 (up from $3.90 in 2015, +6.3%/year). Go Between Bridge: $13.50/km, Australia’s most expensive per km (300m long). All Sydney tolls except the Harbour Bridge rose faster than inflation. 8 of Australia’s 10 most expensive tolls are in Sydney.
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
    Also cited in The model The Roads Rort Transurban: the monopoly The Roads Rort What the media covered The Roads Rort
    1 more storyWhat would fix it The Roads Rort
  2. UnusableiSelect: Sydney commuter toll modelling (November 2025). https://www.iselect.com.au/car-insurance/insights/top-priced-tolls/. Sydney commuters using two or more toll roads daily can face weekly costs of more than A$100 (the page's words). The page gives no annual figure and does not describe a typical commuter; this article's annual figure is the weekly figure over 52 weeks. Modelling used Linkt Toll Calculator and Google Routes API.
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
    Also cited in The model The Roads Rort Transurban: the monopoly The Roads Rort What the media covered The Roads Rort
    1 more storyWhat would fix it The Roads Rort
  3. PrimaryTransurban FY25 results (August 2025). https://www.transurban.com/content/dam/investor-centre/01/FY25-ASXRelease.pdf. FY25 proportional toll revenue: A$3,732 million (up 5.6% on FY24). FY25 proportional Operating EBITDA: A$2,848 million, a margin of 75.1% on total proportional revenue of A$3,795 million (up from 73.7% in FY24); reported proportional EBITDA after one-off costs was A$2,676 million. Average daily trips: 2.5 million.
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
    Also cited in The model The Roads Rort Transurban: the monopoly The Roads Rort What the media covered The Roads Rort
    2 more storiesWhat would fix it The Roads Rort Who owns the roads The Roads Rort
  4. TradeMorningstar: Transurban FY24 analysis (August 2024). https://www.morningstar.com.au/stocks/asx-income-play-lifts-distribution-forecast. ‘Wide-moat-rated Transurban’: the moat is ‘underpinned by efficient scale and other competitive advantages in existing markets’; the core Australian roads ‘benefit from strong barriers to entry’. Tolls ‘increase in line with the consumer price index or at an agreed fixed rate’.
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
    Also cited in The model The Roads Rort Transurban: the monopoly The Roads Rort What would fix it The Roads Rort
  5. AggregatorWikipedia: WestConnex (current). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WestConnex. WestConnex total cost forecast: A$20–$45 billion depending on inclusions. Public grants (state + federal): A$7.1 billion. Concession: tolls rise by 4% or CPI (higher) until 2040, then CPI until 2060.
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
    Also cited in The model The Roads Rort The political connections The Roads Rort Transurban: the monopoly The Roads Rort
    1 more storyWhat the media covered The Roads Rort
  6. MastheadThe Conversation, Chris Standen, "Privatising WestConnex is the biggest waste of public funds for corporate gain in Australian history" (2018). https://theconversation.com/privatising-westconnex-is-the-biggest-waste-of-public-funds-for-corporate-gain-in-australian-history-102790. Written on the 2018 sale of 51 per cent of WestConnex: the NSW government will spend more than A$23 billion on the toll road; the author calculates "a financial return of 34 cents for every dollar spent". It predates, and does not cover, the 2021 sale of the remaining 49 per cent.
    Also cited in The model The Roads Rort The political connections The Roads Rort What the media covered The Roads Rort
    1 more storyWhat would fix it The Roads Rort
  7. TradeGreen Left (Peter Boyle, 29 September 2021): WestConnex privatisation analysis. https://www.greenleft.org.au/2021/1320/news/westconnex-privatisation-highway-robbery-massive-scale. Transurban now controls all but three of Australia’s 21 toll road networks. WestConnex deal: the deal lets WestConnex raise tolls by 4% or inflation rate, whichever is higher, per year.
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
    Also cited in The model The Roads Rort The political connections The Roads Rort Transurban: the monopoly The Roads Rort
    1 more storyWhat would fix it The Roads Rort
  8. MastheadBusiness News Australia: Transurban WestConnex 49% acquisition (September 2021). https://www.businessnewsaustralia.com/articles/transurban-to-acquire-westconnex-from-nsw-government-for--11-1-billion.html. WestConnex enterprise value A$33 billion based on 2021 deal. WestConnex has close to 40 years of concession life remaining.
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
    Also cited in The model The Roads Rort Transurban: the monopoly The Roads Rort
  9. TradeIBISWorld / Transurban profile: market dominance. https://www.ibisworld.com/australia/company/transurban-group/9956/. Transurban holds the most market share in Australia’s Toll Road Operators industry.
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
    Also cited in Transurban: the monopoly The Roads Rort
  10. TradeReal Assets IPE: WestConnex 51% acquisition (2018). https://realassets.ipe.com/news/transurban-consortium-buys-51-stake-in-westconnex-toll-road-for-aud93bn/10026403.article. 2018: Transurban-led consortium bought 51% of WestConnex for A$9.26 billion.
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
    Also cited in The model The Roads Rort Who owns the roads The Roads Rort
  11. UnusableiSelect, "Top Priced Tolls" (November 2025). https://www.iselect.com.au/car-insurance/insights/top-priced-tolls/. Melbourne's CityLink is Australia's most expensive toll at up to $12.25 a trip; eight of the ten most expensive tolls are in Sydney; WestConnex is the highest-earning toll road, with CityLink second.
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
    Also cited in The model The Roads Rort Transurban: the monopoly The Roads Rort What the media covered The Roads Rort
    1 more storyWhat would fix it The Roads Rort
  12. AggregatorTransurban FY24 results ASX release (August 2024). https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/TRANSURBAN-GROUP-6493737/news/Transurban-Expects-Higher-Distribution-in-Fiscal-Year-2025-Update-47588951/. FY24 proportional toll revenue: A$3.54 billion (up 6.7% on FY23). FY24 EBITDA margin: 73.1% as first reported (corrected 15 October 2026: the primary release of 8 August 2024, https://www.transurban.com/content/dam/investor-centre/01/FY24-ASXRelease.pdf , gives the margin as 72.4% in FY23 and 73.1% in FY24; the FY25 release [3] restates FY24 to 73.7%, on restated EBITDA and costs consistent with the updated definition of Free Cash, so 75.1% against 73.7% is the like-for-like FY25 comparison).
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
    Also cited in Transurban: the monopoly The Roads Rort
  13. TradeMontgomery Investment Management: Transurban FY24 analysis. https://www.montinvest.com/investor-insights/insights/transurban-financial-results-a-promising-future-amid-the-usual-challenges. Toll increases were the primary driver of revenue growth: CPI-linkage means toll rises automatically embedded into model.
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
    Also cited in Who owns the roads The Roads Rort
  14. AggregatorMarketScreener: Transurban FY23 results (August 2023). https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/TRANSURBAN-GROUP-6493737/news/Transurban-Forecasts-Record-Fiscal-Year-2024-Distribution-Names-Jablko-as-CEO-44626038/. FY23 proportional toll revenue: A$3.31 billion (up 26%). Many investors consider Transurban ‘one of the more defensive stocks on the ASX.’
    • Link loaded when machine-checked, 2026-08-16
  15. PrimaryAustralian Bureau of Statistics, "Consumer Price Index, Australia, September Quarter 2025". https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/consumer-price-index-australia/sep-quarter-2025. The All groups CPI index number for the weighted average of eight capital cities was 143.6 in the September quarter 2025. The ABS publishes the index; the cumulative rise since 2017 (about 29 per cent, from 111.4 to 143.6) and its comparison with the 128 per cent M4 toll rise (from $4.56 to $10.38, reference 1) are this article's calculation.
  16. PrimaryAustralian Bureau of Statistics, "6401.0 Consumer Price Index, Australia, Sep 2017". https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Previousproducts/6401.0Main%20Features3Sep%202017?opendocument&tabname=Summary&prodno=6401.0&issue=Sep%202017&num=&view=. The All groups CPI index number for the weighted average of eight capital cities was 111.4 in the September quarter 2017.
  17. PrimaryIndependent Toll Review (NSW Government), "Motorists First: Final Report" (16 July 2024). https://www.parliament.nsw.gov.au/tp/files/189077/20240716_TollReview_FinalReport_MotoristsFirst.pdf. Supports: Figure 3.6, "Current tolls (as at April 2024)", which gives each Sydney toll road's escalation formula (PDF pp.95-96), and the statement that "toll escalation is steeper, the greater of 4% per annum or CPI, meaning in some years tolls on WestConnex have grown ahead of CPI" (PDF p.122).
    Also cited in The political connections The Roads Rort What would fix it The Roads Rort Who owns the roads The Roads Rort
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